Netanyahu Succession Bets

Markets are weighing in on who might eventually succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel. The question of who will succeed Netanyahu has been a subject of speculation, with a dedicated prediction market on Kalshi tracking potential candidates. According to data from Kalshi, All Markets, the current odds suggest significant uncertainty.

Israel's Next Prime Minister Odds

The market for Naftali Bennett to become the next Prime Minister has the highest odds at 50%, implying a 2.0x return for a successful bet. However, this is far from a decisive lead.

Other notable figures have much lower probabilities. Israel Katz is priced at 13%, Itamar Ben-Gvir at 7.5%, and Yair Lapid at 2.9%.

The market for this event expires on January 1, 2045, indicating a long-term outlook for this political succession question.

This contrasts sharply with other, more immediate political bets, such as who will be Trump's next Attorney General, which has seen over $1.2 million in trading volume.

Elsewhere, the EU's potential expansion is also a subject of betting, with a market exploring if any country will join the bloc by 2030. This topic is further detailed in Israel's Next PM: Betting Market Odds.

Markets also reflect speculation on AI advancements, space missions, and even climate change targets.