Prediction Markets
50 articles in this category

Ethiopia PM Odds on Polymarket
Polymarket's 'Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?' market shows Abiy Ahmed as a strong favorite, reflecting significant betting interest in the nation's political future.

Markets Weigh US-Iran Diplomacy
Prediction markets show significant volume and high probability assigned to a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, alongside bets on related geopolitical events.
AI IPOs: OpenAI vs. Anthropic Bets
Prediction markets are actively betting on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, signaling investor interest in the future of AI giants.

Fed Rate Bets Show Confidence in Status Quo
Traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly bet on the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in June 2026, with a 99.6% probability.
AI IPOs: Markets Bet on OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets are buzzing with bets on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, alongside forecasts for space missions and geopolitical shifts.

Bitcoin Price Bets in 2026
Traders are actively betting on the Bitcoin price in June 2026, with Polymarket markets showing significant volume for various price targets.

Polymarket Bets on Fed's June Rate Decision
Traders are betting heavily on the Fed's June 2026 interest rate decision, with the market favoring no change but significant volume on potential rate cuts and hikes.

Polymarket Bets on LCS Playoffs
Prediction markets show strong sentiment for Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs match against Cloud9, with over $1.5M in 24-hour volume.

Polymarket War Markets Heat Up
Polymarket's war markets are buzzing with activity, especially bets on US-Iran peace deals and potential Iranian regime change, reflecting geopolitical speculation.
Trump's Greenland Gambit: Market Bets
Prediction markets show robust trading volume on the potential US acquisition of Greenland under Trump, alongside bets on AI, space, and global politics.

Musk Tweet Bets Top Polymarket
Prediction markets show high stakes on Elon Musk's tweet count and geopolitical events, with millions traded daily.
AI Giants Face IPO Test
Prediction markets show strong conviction that either OpenAI or Anthropic will go public before 2040, with significant bets placed on the outcome.

Russia nuclear test market active
A prediction market on Polymarket speculating on a Russian nuclear test has seen significant trading volume, highlighting a niche but active area of speculative betting.
US Greenland Acquisition Odds Shift
Prediction markets show significant volume for a potential US acquisition of Greenland, though odds favor no deal.

Peru Election 2026: Odds on Polymarket
Prediction markets on Polymarket show Keiko Fujimori as the frontrunner for the 2026 Peru election, with significant volume traded.
AI IPOs: Betting on OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets show significant bets on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, reflecting strong future market sentiment for AI giants.

Iran Airspace Closure Bets Skyrocket
Polymarket prediction markets see massive bets on an imminent Iranian airspace closure, reflecting geopolitical tensions.

Prediction Markets Eye Fed Rate Decisions
Prediction markets show a strong consensus for no Fed rate change in June, with over $66 million staked on the outcome.
Fusion Futures on the Market
Prediction markets show significant bets on future tech, with nuclear fusion achievement and AI IPOs among the top speculative trades.

Polymarket Bets on Fed's June 2026 Rate Decision
Traders on Polymarket are heavily betting on the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in June 2026, reflecting strong confidence in no policy change.

Bitcoin Price Bets for June 5, 2026
Prediction markets are abuzz with activity for Bitcoin's price on June 5, 2026, with bets ranging from $60k to over $80k.
Greenland Territory Bets During Trump's Term
Prediction markets are buzzing with bets on the US acquiring Greenland territory, especially during a potential Trump term, highlighting speculative geopolitical interest.

AI Model Race: Betting on 2026's Best
Polymarket prediction markets reveal $31.2M in daily volume, with AI, war, and crypto bets dominating. The race for the best AI model in 2026 is a key focus.

Bitcoin Price: June 2026 Bets
Traders are placing bets on Bitcoin's price and MicroStrategy's holdings in June 2026 via prediction markets.
AI Giants' IPO Race Heats Up on Prediction Markets
Prediction markets show strong sentiment for OpenAI to IPO before Anthropic, with significant volume traded on the timing of AI companies' public debuts.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Bets Skew 'No'
Prediction markets show nearly unanimous belief that MicroStrategy will not sell any Bitcoin by the end of 2025, despite significant trading volume.
AI IPO Odds: OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets show strong sentiment for OpenAI or Anthropic to IPO first, with significant trading volume in AI, space, and geopolitical futures.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Bets
Prediction markets show strong conviction that MicroStrategy will sell Bitcoin by the end of 2026, alongside high activity in geopolitical and crypto-related bets.
US Bets on Greenland Acquisition
Kalshi prediction markets show significant activity around the potential US acquisition of Greenland, with millions traded on the possibility.

Iran Ceasefire Bets Surge
Prediction markets show significant trading on potential US-Iran ceasefire extensions, with millions wagered on geopolitical outcomes.
Kalshi Markets: AI, Mars, and Musk
Kalshi prediction markets show $8.8M in volume, with AI IPOs, Mars missions, and Greenland acquisition as top bets.

Polymarket Volume Breakdown
Polymarket saw $32.3M in 24h volume, with geopolitical markets, particularly US-Iran relations, dominating user bets.

Polymarket Bets on Global Events
Polymarket sees millions traded daily on events ranging from US-Iran peace deals to Elon Musk's tweet count.
Markets Bet on Greenland Buyout Under Trump
Prediction markets show significant volume betting on a US acquisition of Greenland, particularly under a potential Trump presidency, with traders speculating on price and timing.

AI Market Trends: Predictions and Bets
Prediction markets reveal $32.1M in 24h volume, with geopolitical events dominating bets, while AI market trends are indirectly gauged.
AI IPO Race: Markets Bet on OpenAI or Anthropic
Prediction markets show significant trading volume on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, reflecting intense investor interest in AI's public market future.

Markets Bet on US-Iran Peace
Traders are betting heavily on a US-Iran peace deal, with nearly $10M trading in 24 hours on Polymarket, alongside bets on Bitcoin and Elon Musk's tweets.
Moonshot Bets: Who Reaches Lunar Surface First?
Prediction markets show the US has a 54% chance of being the next country to land humans on the Moon before 2031, with China a distant second.

Iran Ceasefire Bets Top $23M
Decentralized prediction markets show over $23M wagered on the US-Iran ceasefire continuation, with strong odds favoring de-escalation.
Moon Race Futures: Blue Origin vs. SpaceX
Prediction markets reveal strong sentiment for Blue Origin beating SpaceX to the moon, alongside bets on AI IPOs and Mars missions.
Moon Race Heats Up on Prediction Markets
Prediction markets show the US leading the race to land humans on the Moon next, with significant bets placed on the outcome.

Prediction Markets Gauge Geopolitical Bets
Prediction markets are seeing heavy volume on geopolitical events like US-Iran peace deals and Elon Musk's X posting habits.

Markets Bet on Trump's Xi Talk
Prediction markets are seeing high volume on what Donald Trump will say during his bilateral events with Xi Jinping, with specific keywords attracting bets.

Trump Kiss Bets Top $6.7M
The 'Trump kiss prediction market' is a top draw on Polymarket, pulling in $6.7M in 24h volume amid broader speculation across AI, crypto, and geopolitics.
Markets Weigh OpenAI, Anthropic IPO Futures
Prediction markets are actively trading on the future IPO timing of AI leaders OpenAI and Anthropic, with OpenAI favored to go public first.
AI IPOs: Markets Weigh OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets show a strong sentiment for Anthropic to IPO before OpenAI, with significant trading volume on the outcome.

Prediction Markets Track Elon Musk's Tweet Volume
Prediction markets show significant activity around Elon Musk's tweet volume, Bitcoin prices, and geopolitical events, with over $27.5M traded daily.

Predicting Peace: Iran Deal Bets
Prediction markets show significant bets on a US-Iran peace deal by late 2026, alongside activity on airspace closures and uranium acquisition.
AI IPO Race: Markets Eye OpenAI, Anthropic
Prediction markets on Kalshi show strong sentiment for OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs, with traders betting on which AI giant will go public first.

Predicting Trump's Interview Remarks
Decentralized prediction markets show significant activity around what Donald Trump might say in an upcoming Bret Baier interview and during talks with Xi Jinping.