#Prediction Markets
50 articles with this tag

Polymarket prediction markets daily volume $12.4M
Polymarket's top markets did $12.4M in 24h volume led by a $2.4M Iran invasion market and $1.6M in mis-tagged sports volume.

NY Sues Kalshi Over Illegal Gambling Claims
New York regulators sued prediction platform Kalshi, alleging its event contracts constitute illegal gambling under state gaming laws.

OpenAI, Anthropic IPO Race Heats Up
Prediction markets show a strong lean towards Anthropic IPOing before OpenAI, highlighting intense investor interest in the AI sector's future.

Ceasefire Bets Show Uncertainty
Prediction markets show significant trading volume focused on the timing of potential US-led halts in offensive operations against Iran, reflecting geopolitical uncertainty.

Mars Visit Odds: Musk Faces Long Odds
Traders on Kalshi give Elon Musk just a 13% chance of visiting Mars in his lifetime, with significant volume also seen in AI and geopolitical prediction markets.

Traders Bet Big on July 2026 Fed Rates
Traders are placing significant bets on the Federal Reserve's July 2026 interest rate decision, with the market favoring no change.

Polymarket: Iran-Israel Ceasefire Bets
Polymarket prediction markets reveal high trader confidence in an ongoing Iran-Israel ceasefire and US de-escalation, alongside significant bets on Bitcoin and Federal Reserve actions.

Ceasefire Bets Dominate War Markets
Prediction markets show intense focus on Israel-Iran ceasefire continuity and U.S. policy shifts regarding Iran, with significant trading volume.

AI Giants Eye IPOs: Who Goes Public First?
Prediction markets show a strong lean towards OpenAI IPOing before Anthropic, reflecting intense investor interest in AI's public market debut.

Markets Bet on Israel-Iran Ceasefire
Prediction markets show strong confidence in an ongoing Israel-Iran ceasefire through August 2026, with significant volume recorded.

AI Giants Eye IPOs: OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Traders are betting on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will be the first to go public, with current market sentiment favoring OpenAI.

OpenAI, Anthropic IPO Bets Heat Up
Prediction markets show significant bets on OpenAI or Anthropic going public before 2040, with traders favoring OpenAI to IPO first.

Crypto Prediction Markets See $27M Volume
Polymarket's crypto prediction markets saw $27.2M in 24h volume, with esports, geopolitics, and crypto price bets driving activity.

Polymarket Bets on Bitcoin's July 2026 Trajectory
Polymarket's prediction markets show significant activity around Bitcoin's price trajectory for July 2026, with a key focus on the $67.5k mark.

AI IPO Race: Markets Track OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets show strong trading volume in AI, with OpenAI vs. Anthropic IPOs leading the charge, alongside bets on space exploration and geopolitical events.

Bitcoin Price Bets: July 2026
Traders are betting on Bitcoin's price movements in July 2026 on Polymarket, with most favoring a price around $67.5k.

LeBron's Next Move: Where the Bets Are
LeBron James' next team is a hot bet on Polymarket, with the Miami Heat leading the odds, highlighting significant financial interest in the NBA star's future.

Fed Rate Cut Bets Heat Up
Traders are placing significant bets on the Federal Reserve's 2026 rate cut decisions, with no cuts being the leading prediction on Polymarket.

Space Race Heats Up: Moon Missions on the Line
The Blue Origin SpaceX Moon landing race is heating up on prediction markets, alongside bets on AI IPOs and Mars exploration.

Betting Markets Eye Golden Boot
Prediction markets are buzzing with activity for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot, with Kylian Mbappé leading the odds.

AI Giants Eye IPO: Who Will Go Public First?
Kalshi prediction markets show traders betting on Anthropic to IPO before OpenAI, with significant volume in AI and geopolitical futures.

Ethiopia Election Bets Top Markets
Prediction markets show significant betting volume on the 2026 Ethiopian Prime Minister election, with Abiy Ahmed heavily favored.

Fusion Power: When Will It Finally Arrive?
Prediction markets on Kalshi show a 33.3% chance of nuclear fusion by 2030, with odds increasing for later dates, reflecting long-term development expectations.

World Cup Golden Ball Odds Shift
Prediction markets show Rodri as the favorite for the World Cup Golden Ball, with Lionel Messi's odds surprisingly high.

US-Iran Invasion Odds Shift
Prediction markets show a 23.5% chance of a US invasion of Iran before 2027, with significant volume also seen in geopolitical and crypto-related bets.

AI Giants Weigh IPO: OpenAI vs. Anthropic
Prediction markets favor Anthropic IPOing before OpenAI, highlighting intense investor interest in the AI sector's public market future.

Polymarket Bets on Fed Rate Moves
Polymarket users are placing substantial bets on the Federal Reserve's July 2026 interest rate decision, with a strong consensus favoring no change.

France vs Spain Bets Surge
Prediction markets show significant volume for France vs. Spain World Cup 2026 betting, with France favored to advance.

AI Giants Eye IPOs: Markets Bet on OpenAI or Anthropic First
Prediction markets show a strong lean towards Anthropic IPOing before OpenAI, with significant trading volume on the outcome.

AI Model Supremacy: Markets Bet on Anthropic
Prediction markets heavily favor Anthropic to have the best AI model by late July 2026, with significant volume also seen in sports and geopolitical futures.

Holloway Favored Over McGregor at UFC 329
Max Holloway is heavily favored over Conor McGregor at UFC 329 with 71.5% odds, driving significant trading volume on Polymarket.

Fusion Power by 2040? Odds Are Split
Prediction markets on Kalshi are giving nuclear fusion a 53.9% chance of being achieved by 2040, reflecting cautious optimism.

Polymarket: Ethiopia PM Race Dominates
Polymarket's top prediction markets today see $30.8M in 24h volume, with Ethiopia's PM race and Fed decisions leading the charts.

Ukraine Election Odds on Kalshi
Prediction markets on Kalshi reveal low confidence in Ukraine holding presidential elections before 2027, while AI and space exploration dominate trading.

World Cup 2026 Bets Dominate Markets
Betting platforms see massive volume on World Cup 2026 predictions, with Cristiano Ronaldo's emotions and geopolitical shifts leading the way.

Betting on Diplomacy: Iran Deal
Prediction markets show significant betting volume on the timeline for US-Iran nuclear deal negotiations, indicating global uncertainty.

Moon Race Heats Up: Bets On For Space Race
Prediction markets show intense betting on the 'SpaceX Moon landing race' and future Mars missions, with the US favored to reach the Moon next.

July Fed Decision 2026: Markets Weigh In
Prediction markets show keen interest in the July 2026 Fed decision, with most betting on no rate change, alongside significant World Cup and Bitcoin speculation.

Prediction Markets Track Global Leaders' Fates
Polymarket's prediction markets are seeing significant activity, with over $30M traded in 24 hours, particularly in political futures and Bitcoin price predictions.

World Cup Golden Boot Bets Surge
Prediction markets are buzzing with activity around the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot, with Mbappé and Messi leading the odds.
AI Giants Eye IPOs: Who'll Go Public First?
Prediction markets reveal a strong sentiment that Anthropic might IPO before OpenAI, with significant trading volume dedicated to the outcome.

Prediction Markets Eye Political Shifts
Prediction markets are buzzing with bets on political futures, including leadership changes before 2027, alongside high-volume World Cup wagers.

Ethiopia PM Race: Prediction Market Odds
Polymarket data shows Abiy Ahmed heavily favored in the Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia election prediction market, with other candidates facing long odds.

Markets Bet on Fed Rate Decisions in 2026
Prediction markets show significant bets on the Fed's July 2026 interest rate decision, with other markets covering geopolitics and celebrity actions.

Robots to Mars Before Humans?
Prediction markets are betting on robots reaching Mars before humans, with significant volume also dedicated to AI IPOs and space exploration milestones.

Ethiopia PM Race Draws Bets
Prediction markets show Abiy Ahmed heavily favored to win Ethiopia's 2026 prime ministerial election, drawing significant betting volume.

US-Iran Talks: Betting on Diplomacy
Prediction markets are actively betting on the timeline for the next US-Iran peace talks, reflecting global interest in diplomatic developments.
NATO Chief Odds: Who's Next?
Prediction markets show Kaja Kallas and Ben Wallace with the highest, yet still low, odds for the next NATO Secretary General role.

Polymarket Volume Surges on Geopolitics
Polymarket prediction markets volume surged to $23.3M, with Ethiopia's PM race dominating activity.

Polymarket Bets on Political Futures
Polymarket's prediction markets are buzzing with activity, particularly in AI and political futures, with millions traded on events ranging from leadership changes to geopolitical stability.