Polymarket Volume Breakdown

Polymarket saw $32.3M in 24h volume, with geopolitical markets, particularly US-Iran relations, dominating user bets.

4 min read
Chart showing Polymarket trading volume breakdown by category
A snapshot of Polymarket's trading volume distribution.· Polymarket — All Markets
Visual TL;DR
Polymarket VolumeCore
From the article 9+ mentionsThe prediction market platform Polymarket recorded a substantial $32.3 million in 24-hour trading volume, with a total liquidity of $16.5 million across its active markets.
Geopolitical MarketsDriver
driving bulk of activity, especially US-Iran relations
From the article 9+ mentionsThis Polymarket volume breakdown demonstrates a clear trend: users are placing significant wagers on the outcomes of geopolitical events, with financial markets and more speculative topics following behind.
User BetsEffect
From the article 2 mentionsThis Polymarket volume breakdown highlights a significant user engagement with future-oriented bets.
US x Iran PeaceContext
From the article 6 mentionsThe 'War' category alone accounted for the bulk of the volume, with the market speculating on a 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by...' generating $11.9 million in the past 24 hours.
Crypto Interest SteadyContext
Fed Decision in June? market saw $2.1 million
AI and SportsContext
mentioned as colliding categories
Uncertainty ReflectedOutcome
From the articleOther war-related markets, such as 'Iran ceasefire continues through...?' ($4.7M volume) and 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?' ($3.9M volume), also saw considerable action, reflecting ongoing uncertainty.

The prediction market platform Polymarket recorded a substantial $32.3 million in 24-hour trading volume, with a total liquidity of $16.5 million across its active markets. This Polymarket volume breakdown highlights a significant user engagement with future-oriented bets.

Geopolitical events continue to be the primary driver of activity. The 'War' category alone accounted for the bulk of the volume, with the market speculating on a 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by...' generating $11.9 million in the past 24 hours. This specific market has amassed a total of $224 million in volume, underscoring a persistent focus on de-escalation in the region.

Other war-related markets, such as 'Iran ceasefire continues through...?' ($4.7M volume) and 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?' ($3.9M volume), also saw considerable action, reflecting ongoing uncertainty.

Crypto Interest Remains Steady

The 'Crypto' category saw its top market, 'Fed Decision in June?', generate $2.1 million in 24-hour volume. This indicates traders are actively betting on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?, Trade on Polymarket

AI and Sports Collide

Surprisingly, the 'AI' category featured a market for the 'Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds' MLB game, which drew $2.3 million in volume. This unusual placement suggests a broad interpretation of what constitutes an 'AI' market on the platform, or perhaps a unique categorization choice by Polymarket. The 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?' market in the Tech category, however, continues to attract interest with $720.2K in volume.

This Polymarket volume breakdown demonstrates a clear trend: users are placing significant wagers on the outcomes of geopolitical events, with financial markets and more speculative topics following behind.

Iran ceasefire continues through...?, Trade on Polymarket

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?, Trade on Polymarket

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?, Trade on Polymarket

Iran closes its airspace by...?, Trade on Polymarket

Fed Decision in June?, Trade on Polymarket

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds, Trade on Polymarket

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes, Trade on Polymarket

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?, Trade on Polymarket

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