Prediction markets are offering a fascinating glimpse into potential future appointments, with significant volume focused on who Donald Trump might select as his next Attorney General. According to data from Kalshi — All Markets, one particular candidate is favored.
The market for "Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?" shows a 64.0% probability for a specific individual, with a return of 1.6x on investment. This event, set to resolve before January 20th, 2029, has already seen substantial trading activity, with a volume of $1.3 million.
Trump's Attorney General Odds
Other potential nominees are priced much lower. A candidate with 15.0% odds offers a 6.7x potential return, while another at 7.0% odds could yield 14.3x. The total combined volume across all active prediction markets listed is $19.0 million.
War & Geopolitics and AI & Tech categories are also seeing robust activity.
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Trade on Kalshi
War & Geopolitics Markets
In War & Geopolitics, a market questions whether Elon Musk will visit Mars before 2099, with 93.0% odds of 'No'. This is a long-term bet, contrasting with more immediate political speculation. For those interested in leadership changes, Netanyahu Succession Bets are also available on similar platforms.
