Trump AG Odds on Kalshi

Prediction markets are offering a fascinating glimpse into potential future appointments, with significant volume focused on who Donald Trump might select as his next Attorney General. According to data from Kalshi, All Markets, one particular candidate is favored.

The market for "Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?" shows a 64.0% probability for a specific individual, with a return of 1.6x on investment. This event, set to resolve before January 20th, 2029, has already seen substantial trading activity, with a volume of $1.3 million.

Trump's Attorney General Odds

Other potential nominees are priced much lower. A candidate with 15.0% odds offers a 6.7x potential return, while another at 7.0% odds could yield 14.3x. The total combined volume across all active prediction markets listed is $19.0 million.

War & Geopolitics and AI & Tech categories are also seeing robust activity.

War & Geopolitics Markets

In War & Geopolitics, a market questions whether Elon Musk will visit Mars before 2099, with 93.0% odds of 'No'. This is a long-term bet, contrasting with more immediate political speculation. For those interested in leadership changes, Netanyahu Succession Bets are also available on similar platforms.

AI & Tech Futures

The AI & Tech sector features markets on the IPO timing of OpenAI versus Anthropic, with OpenAI holding a 73.0% chance of going public first. There's also speculation about space exploration, including whether Blue Origin will land on the Moon before SpaceX, with a 70.0% probability favoring Blue Origin.