Holloway Favored Over McGregor at UFC 329

Max Holloway is heavily favored over Conor McGregor at UFC 329 with 71.5% odds, driving significant trading volume on Polymarket.

4 min read
Max Holloway and Conor McGregor facing off in a UFC octagon
Max Holloway (left) and Conor McGregor (right) during a promotional face-off.· Polymarket — All Markets
Visual TL;DR
Holloway FavoredCore
From the article 4 mentionsThe highly anticipated UFC 329 Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds heavily favor Max Holloway, with a 71.5% probability of victory in their welterweight main card bout.
McGregor UnderdogCore
From the article 4 mentionsConor McGregor, the underdog, currently sits at a 28.5% implied probability.
UFC 329 Main EventContext
welterweight main card bout scheduled for July 11, 2026
From the article 2 mentionsElsewhere on the UFC 329 card, Paddy Pimblett is narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis in their lightweight clash, with Pimblett holding 46.5% odds.
High Trading VolumeDriver
From the articleThis event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.
Specific OutcomesContext
Holloway KO/TKO at 53.5%, McGregor KO/TKO at 21.5%
From the articleBeyond a straight win, bettors are also wagering on specific outcomes.
Polymarket ActivityEffect
From the article 9+ mentionsThis event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.
Under Card ActionContext
Paddy Pimblett narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis at 46.5%

The highly anticipated UFC 329 Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds heavily favor Max Holloway, with a 71.5% probability of victory in their welterweight main card bout. This event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.

Conor McGregor, the underdog, currently sits at a 28.5% implied probability. Beyond a straight win, bettors are also wagering on specific outcomes. Holloway winning by KO/TKO carries a 53.5% chance, while McGregor securing a KO/TKO win is at 21.5%.

The overall market for this fight has accumulated $13.4 million in total volume and $2.0 million in liquidity, making it one of the most active cryptocurrency prediction markets.

Under Card Action and Other Predictions

Elsewhere on the UFC 329 card, Paddy Pimblett is narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis in their lightweight clash, with Pimblett holding 46.5% odds. This market has seen $1.8 million in 24-hour volume.

King Green is a commanding favorite against Terrance McKinney, boasting 100% odds on Polymarket with $709.4K in daily volume. Meanwhile, Cory Sandhagen is favored with 58.5% odds against Mario Bautista in their bantamweight fight.

Beyond combat sports, Polymarket prediction markets are tracking diverse events. The Argentina vs. Switzerland exact score market leads in overall 24-hour volume at $12.4 million, while a market on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by July 31st has garnered $1.2 million in daily volume.

Argentina vs. Switzerland - Exact Score, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, Trade on Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

NBA: LeBron James Next Team, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

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