The race to public markets for leading AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with prediction markets placing significant odds on their eventual IPOs. A market on Kalshi, All Markets indicates an 83% probability that either OpenAI or Anthropic will go public before 2040, with substantial trading volume reflecting investor interest.
OpenAI vs. Anthropic IPO Odds
The specific question of which AI powerhouse will IPO first is being closely watched. Current market sentiment favors OpenAI, with a 18% chance of an OpenAI IPO versus Anthropic's 83% chance of going public first, a seemingly contradictory but common outcome in prediction markets where both 'Yes' and 'No' scenarios are often heavily traded.