AI Stock Picks Today: NVDA, NET Trade Ideas - August 14, 2026

NVDA leads with 8/10 conviction and Aug 26 earnings. NET surges post Q2 beat (+36% revenue). 8 short-term AI stock trade ideas with conviction scores, stops, and options play.

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AI Stock Picks Today: NVDA, NET Trade Ideas - August 14, 2026

Today's AI stock trade ideas: August 14, 2026

The S&P 500 is up 0.65% and the Nasdaq up 0.81% as cooling inflation data removes the September rate-hike risk. A string of blowout earnings and fresh hyperscaler capital commitments have set up clean directional setups. Eight ideas below, ranked by conviction. Scores: Conviction (1-10, higher is stronger); Risk (1-10, higher is riskier); percentage columns estimate the probability the idea works in those windows.

The scoreboard

# Ticker / Play Type Entry Stop Target Conv. Risk 1wk 1mo
1 NVDA Stock Long $222-226 $210 $250 8/10 5/10 62% 72%
2 NET Stock Long $325-333 $308 $365 8/10 5/10 65% 70%
3 PLTR Stock Long $175-180 $162 $200 7/10 7/10 55% 62%
4 NVDA $240 calls (exp Aug 28) Options ~$2.87 $1.00 $8-12 7/10 9/10 40% -
5 ORCL Stock Long $150-157 $140 $175 7/10 5/10 58% 63%
6 CRM Stock Long $197-202 $188 $218 6/10 5/10 52% 58%
7 GOOGL Stock Short $348-354 $362 $325 6/10 5/10 50% 55%
8 AMD Stock Short $484-490 $505 $450 5/10 6/10 45% 50%

1. Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA): Long

The top ai stock to buy now with earnings 12 days away. On August 10, Nvidia confirmed memorandums of understanding with Apollo Global Management, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR to mobilize over $500 billion in AI infrastructure capital, per Vantage Markets. The stock is up 6% over the past month, sits 7.7% above its 20-day average, and shows steady accumulation rather than a vertical spike. Stop below $210 where recent support sits; the thesis confirms if NVDA holds $215 through next week.

2. Cloudflare (NYSE: NET): Long

The cleanest post-earnings momentum setup in this group. Cloudflare reported Q2 on August 6 with revenue of $696.1 million (+36% year over year vs. the ~$665 million consensus) and raised full-year 2026 guidance to $2.86-2.87 billion, per Yahoo Finance. Multiple analysts lifted price targets: Bank of America to $380, Citi to $400, Scotiabank to $390. The binary earnings risk is gone; the setup now is a straightforward momentum hold. Stop below $308; confirmation is a close above $340.

3. Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR): Long

Palantir beat Q2 estimates on August 3 with roughly 85% revenue growth, and received an upbeat Bank of America view on August 7, per Yahoo Finance. The stock is the most extended on this list (24.8% above its 20-day average), hence the 7/10 risk score. Stop at $162 protects the post-earnings gap. A sustained hold above $170 on normal volume is the confirmation signal.

4. Nvidia $240 calls (exp Aug 28): Options

A defined-risk play into the August 26 earnings date. The $240 calls expiring August 28 last traded around $2.87 with 20,873 contracts of open interest. Maximum loss is the premium paid; stop if the contract falls below $1.00 or NVDA breaks $215. Target $8-12. This is a 9/10 risk idea: if earnings miss, or implied volatility collapses without a large price move, most of the premium can disappear quickly.

5. Oracle (NYSE: ORCL): Long

Oracle expanded its Amazon Web Services partnership to make Oracle AI Database available across 22 AWS regions globally, per Benzinga. Cloud infrastructure revenue grew 77% in fiscal 2026, with earnings expected around September 8. The stock is recovering without being extended: 1.7% above its 50-day average. Stop below $140; the next key level to clear is $160.

More on the radar

CRM (NYSE: CRM) Long, $197-202 / stop $188 / target $218. Salesforce is up 20.6% over the past month and +4.2% today, riding the AI-agent enterprise demand wave. Conviction 6, Risk 5.

GOOGL (NASDAQ: GOOGL) Short, $348-354 / stop $362 / target $325. Alphabet is the clear laggard: down 6.6% over the past month while the Nasdaq gained 2%, with Department of Justice search pressure persisting. Conviction 6, Risk 5.

AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) Short, $484-490 / stop $505 / target $450. Down 8.7% over the past month and 5.5% below its 50-day average, with the AI chip narrative firmly favoring Nvidia. Conviction 5, Risk 6.

How we score these

Conviction (1-10): Setup quality combining momentum, catalyst clarity, and price structure. A 9 or 10 means multiple independent signals align; a 5 or 6 means real but with material competing risks.

Risk (1-10): Bounded by a clear stop and proven support gets a 4 or 5. Binary outcomes (earnings, thin liquidity, or extreme extension) earn a 9 or 10.

Probabilities: Rough estimates based on catalyst timing and historical behavior of similar setups. They describe frequency, not gain size.

These are short-term trade ideas for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Trading stocks and options carries substantial risk of loss, including the total loss of capital. Probabilities and scores are estimates, not guarantees. Do your own research and size positions to your own risk tolerance.

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