The prediction market platform Polymarket is seeing robust activity across a range of categories, from geopolitical events to emerging technologies. The total combined 24-hour trading volume across all markets stands at $156.6 million, with $11.7 million in total liquidity, according to data from Polymarket, All Markets.
Within the AI category, a market predicting the extension of a US x Iran ceasefire has captured $101.5 million in 24-hour volume, highlighting significant user engagement with geopolitical stability predictions. This follows trends seen in other conflict-related markets, such as the US x Iran ceasefire.
The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire market also shows substantial activity, with $15.2 million in 24-hour volume. Markets like these, focusing on the cessation of hostilities, continue to draw considerable attention, as noted in analyses such as Ceasefire Bets: Israel-Hezbollah Market Dominates.
In the tech and crypto space, the prediction market for the MegaETH market cap (fully diluted valuation) one day after launch has already amassed $6.1 million in 24-hour volume and $29.3 million in total volume. This indicates strong speculative interest in the valuation of this new crypto asset.
Other notable markets include predictions on Elon Musk's tweet volume ($4.6M in 24h volume) and the outcome of the Knicks vs. Hawks NBA game ($4.1M in 24h volume).
The daily brief
Get the free daily brief with the day's AI news, new AI startups and funding rounds every morning.
Join 64,000 other subscribers.
The War category features a market on a US x Iran permanent peace deal, which has seen $3.1 million in 24-hour volume and a substantial $71.4 million in total volume, underscoring the persistent global interest in Middle Eastern geopolitical outcomes.
In Crypto, a market on a "Clavicular pregnancy in 2026" has generated $8.2 million in 24-hour volume, demonstrating the platform's diverse speculative landscape. Also in Crypto, the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner market is seeing significant action with $6.5 million in 24-hour volume.
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?, Trade on Polymarket
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?, Trade on Polymarket
Printr public sale total commitments?, Trade on Polymarket
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?, Trade on Polymarket
Knicks vs. Hawks, Trade on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?, Trade on Polymarket
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?, Trade on Polymarket
Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner, Trade on Polymarket





