Markets are betting on which nation will achieve the next human lunar landing. The question of which country next to send humans to Moon before 2031 is a live event on the Kalshi prediction market, with significant volume indicating investor interest in the evolving space race.
AI & Tech
The race to return humans to the Moon before 2031 is closely watched. The United States holds a slight edge according to market sentiment, with 53.0% odds of being the next country to achieve this feat. China follows closely, with 41.0% odds.
This event is a key indicator of national space ambitions. The outcome could significantly shape future lunar exploration efforts.
The markets also reflect a strong interest in other space milestones. Bets are being placed on whether Blue Origin will land on the Moon before SpaceX, with Blue Origin favored at 67.0% odds before 2030.
SpaceX's own Mars ambitions are also a subject of speculation. Currently, the market gives SpaceX only a 31.0% chance of landing anything on Mars before 2030.
Further out, the possibility of human colonization of Mars before 2050 is seen as less likely, with odds at 19.5%.
