Holloway Favored Over McGregor at UFC 329

Max Holloway is heavily favored over Conor McGregor at UFC 329 with 71.5% odds, driving significant trading volume on Polymarket.

Jul 12 at 2:02 AM6 min read

Max Holloway and Conor McGregor facing off in a UFC octagon — Max Holloway (left) and Conor McGregor (right) during a promotional face-off.· Polymarket — All Markets

Visual TL;DR. Holloway Favored for UFC 329 Main Event. Holloway Favored drives High Trading Volume. McGregor Underdog contributes to High Trading Volume. High Trading Volume shows Polymarket Activity. UFC 329 Main Event includes Specific Outcomes. Polymarket Activity extends to Under Card Action.

Holloway Favored: Max Holloway heavily favored over Conor McGregor with 71.5% odds
UFC 329 Main Event: welterweight main card bout scheduled for July 11, 2026
High Trading Volume: $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket
McGregor Underdog: Conor McGregor at 28.5% implied probability, significant underdog
Specific Outcomes: Holloway KO/TKO at 53.5%, McGregor KO/TKO at 21.5%
Polymarket Activity: $13.4 million total volume, $2.0 million liquidity on prediction markets
Under Card Action: Paddy Pimblett narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis at 46.5%

Visual TL;DRQuickExplainDeeper

The highly anticipated UFC 329 Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds heavily favor Max Holloway, with a 71.5% probability of victory in their welterweight main card bout. This event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.

Conor McGregor, the underdog, currently sits at a 28.5% implied probability. Beyond a straight win, bettors are also wagering on specific outcomes. Holloway winning by KO/TKO carries a 53.5% chance, while McGregor securing a KO/TKO win is at 21.5%.

The overall market for this fight has accumulated $13.4 million in total volume and $2.0 million in liquidity, making it one of the most active cryptocurrency prediction markets.

Under Card Action and Other Predictions

Elsewhere on the UFC 329 card, Paddy Pimblett is narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis in their lightweight clash, with Pimblett holding 46.5% odds. This market has seen $1.8 million in 24-hour volume.

King Green is a commanding favorite against Terrance McKinney, boasting 100% odds on Polymarket with $709.4K in daily volume. Meanwhile, Cory Sandhagen is favored with 58.5% odds against Mario Bautista in their bantamweight fight.

Beyond combat sports, Polymarket prediction markets are tracking diverse events. The Argentina vs. Switzerland exact score market leads in overall 24-hour volume at $12.4 million, while a market on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by July 31st has garnered $1.2 million in daily volume.

Argentina vs. Switzerland - Exact Score, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, Trade on Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

NBA: LeBron James Next Team, Trade on Polymarket

UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card), Trade on Polymarket

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#UFC #MMA #Prediction Markets #Polymarket #Max Holloway #Conor McGregor #Welterweight