Citrini Research

Citrini Research is an analyst group that, in a hypothetical 2026 scenario, published a report illustrating how agentic AI could lead to mass economic destruction over two years. Their scenario describes a negative feedback loop where AI capabilities improve, leading to white-collar layoffs, reduced spending, and further AI investment, ultimately causing unemployment to double and the stock market to fall by over a third. The group focuses on the implications of integrating AI agents into the economy, particularly their impact on business models involving transaction optimization and the replacement of third-party contractors.