OpenAI vs. Anthropic: The IPO Race Heats Up

Prediction markets indicate Anthropic is more likely to IPO before OpenAI, with a 76% probability on Kalshi.

Jun 25 at 2:02 AM6 min read

Illustration comparing OpenAI and Anthropic logos, symbolizing a race to an IPO with stock market charts in the background. — Prediction markets are actively forecasting which AI giant will go public first.

Visual TL;DR. IPO Race Heats Up indicates Prediction Markets. Prediction Markets shows Anthropic IPO Likelihood. Prediction Markets shows OpenAI IPO Likelihood. Anthropic IPO Likelihood drives Market Interest. OpenAI IPO Likelihood drives Market Interest. Anthropic's Strengths contributes to Anthropic IPO Likelihood.

IPO Race Heats Up: OpenAI and Anthropic are in a race for an IPO
Prediction Markets: investor sentiment tracked on Kalshi platform
Anthropic IPO Likelihood: 76% probability assigned by traders on Kalshi
OpenAI IPO Likelihood: 27% probability assigned by traders on Kalshi
Anthropic's Strengths: strategic partnerships and rapid Claude model development
Market Interest: combined trading volume of $279.7K indicates significant interest

Visual TL;DRQuickExplainDeeper

The race for an OpenAI Anthropic IPO is intensifying, with prediction markets offering a glimpse into investor sentiment. According to Kalshi, a platform for event-based trading, the market currently leans towards Anthropic making its public debut before OpenAI.

The Prediction Market Snapshot

Kalshi's data shows that traders are assigning a 76% probability to Anthropic being the first to IPO, compared to OpenAI's 27%. This market, tracking an IPO before 2040, has generated a combined trading volume of $279.7K, indicating considerable interest in the future of these AI giants.

This is a significant spread.

While OpenAI has been a dominant force in the AI landscape, Anthropic's strategic partnerships and rapid development of its Claude models have positioned it as a formidable competitor. The prediction market suggests a belief that Anthropic may be better positioned for an earlier public offering.

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?, Trade on Kalshi

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?, Trade on Kalshi

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?, Trade on Kalshi

EU has a new member before 2030?, Trade on Kalshi

Delaware governor winner? (2028), Trade on Kalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?, Trade on Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?, Trade on Kalshi

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?, Trade on Kalshi

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?, Trade on Kalshi

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?, Trade on Kalshi

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?, Trade on Kalshi

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?, Trade on Kalshi

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?, Trade on Kalshi

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?, Trade on Kalshi

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?, Trade on Kalshi

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?, Trade on Kalshi

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?, Trade on Kalshi

© 2026 StartupHub.ai. All rights reserved. Do not enter, scrape, copy, reproduce, or republish this article in whole or in part. Use as input to AI training, fine-tuning, retrieval-augmented generation, or any machine-learning system is prohibited without written license. Substantially-similar derivative works will be pursued to the fullest extent of applicable copyright, database, and computer-misuse laws. See our terms.

#OpenAI #Anthropic #IPO #Prediction Markets #AI Companies #Financials