Markets are weighing in on who might eventually succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel. The question of who will succeed Netanyahu has been a subject of speculation, with a dedicated prediction market on Kalshi tracking potential candidates. According to data from Kalshi — All Markets, the current odds suggest significant uncertainty.
Israel's Next Prime Minister Odds
The market for Naftali Bennett to become the next Prime Minister has the highest odds at 50%, implying a 2.0x return for a successful bet. However, this is far from a decisive lead.
Other notable figures have much lower probabilities. Israel Katz is priced at 13%, Itamar Ben-Gvir at 7.5%, and Yair Lapid at 2.9%.
The market for this event expires on January 1, 2045, indicating a long-term outlook for this political succession question.
This contrasts sharply with other, more immediate political bets, such as who will be Trump's next Attorney General, which has seen over $1.2 million in trading volume.
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Trade on Kalshi
Broader Market Trends
The overall trading volume across Kalshi's prediction markets reached $18.4 million, covering diverse areas from geopolitics to AI and tech.
In War & Geopolitics, a market asks whether Elon Musk will visit Mars before 2099, with odds reflecting a strong belief in a future visit. For those interested in space exploration, check out AI Giants Eye IPOs: Markets Bet on OpenAI vs. Anthropic for related market insights.
Elsewhere, the EU's potential expansion is also a subject of betting, with a market exploring if any country will join the bloc by 2030. This topic is further detailed in Israel's Next PM: Betting Market Odds.
Markets also reflect speculation on AI advancements, space missions, and even climate change targets.
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? — Trade on Kalshi
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? — Trade on Kalshi
EU has a new member before 2030? — Trade on Kalshi
Delaware governor winner? (2028) — Trade on Kalshi
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Trade on Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — Trade on Kalshi
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030? — Trade on Kalshi
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? — Trade on Kalshi
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Trade on Kalshi
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Trade on Kalshi
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? — Trade on Kalshi
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? — Trade on Kalshi
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? — Trade on Kalshi
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030? — Trade on Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Trade on Kalshi
