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Israel PM: Betting Markets Weigh In

Explore the latest odds from Kalshi's prediction markets on who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel, featuring a range of political figures.

2 min read
A gavel rests on a stack of Israeli currency, symbolizing political and financial predictions.
Kalshi prediction markets offer insights into the potential next Prime Minister of Israel.

Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is tracking bets on who will become the next Prime Minister of Israel. The data offers a snapshot of market sentiment, though the long expiration dates suggest considerable future flux.

The leading candidate, according to current market activity, is Naftali Bennett, with a 36% probability of returning to the role. However, the odds reflect substantial uncertainty, with a 71% chance he will not.

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Israel's Next Prime Minister: Market Odds

The market for the next Prime Minister of Israel is diverse, featuring a range of prominent political figures. Israel Katz holds a 12% chance, while figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir and Benny Gantz are given lower probabilities.

Other notable contenders and their current odds include Yariv Levin (5.9%), Gadi Eisenkot (17%), Yoav Gallant (12%), Bezalel Smotrich (1%), Yair Golan (4%), and former Prime Ministers Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett.

These predictions are based on trading volumes and market sentiment on the Kalshi, All Markets platform, which aggregates various prediction markets across different categories.

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