Adam Smith's Lessons for Investors in the Age of AI

Merryn Talks Money marks 250 years of Wealth of Nations with Smith's warnings on price controls, trust, cash hoarding and debt in the AI age.

Live podcast stage discussing Adam Smith at 250 years of Wealth of Nations and AI age investing
Merryn Talks Money panel applies Smith to AI, markets and policy· Bloomberg Podcast
Visual TL;DR
AI inflection mirrors 1776Driver
Panel linked James Watt's steam engine unveiling to today's artificial intelligence disruption moment
From the articleThe panel drew a line from 1776 and James Watt unveiling the steam engine to today's AI inflection, a year after Smith's 300th birth anniversary.
Price fixing backlashEffect
UK youth unemployment rose after under-21 minimum wage climbed about 25 percent since 2024
From the articleThe point scaled to broader price fixing across wages, energy, rent and even food in Scotland, mirrored in the US by proposals for state-sponsored groceries in New York.
Cash hoarding trapEffect
Sitting in cash during expensive markets feels like security but kills long-run returns
From the articleMerryn Somerset Webb and Lamont defined that as six months of living expenses plus a couple of weeks of physical cash, noting £1,000 saved halves debt problems but hoarding beyond that is costly.
Debt warning ignoredDriver
Smith's caution about easy credit and leverage remains the risk policymakers refuse to address
From the articleThe show closed on Smith's warning that public debt enfeebles every state that adopts it and is rarely fairly and completely paid.
Man of system vs marketCore
Smith's chess board passage warns legislators forget each piece has its own motion
AI inflection mirrors 1776Driver
Panel linked James Watt's steam engine unveiling to today's artificial intelligence disruption moment
From the articleThe panel drew a line from 1776 and James Watt unveiling the steam engine to today's AI inflection, a year after Smith's 300th birth anniversary.
Man of system vs marketCore
Smith's chess board passage warns legislators forget each piece has its own motion
Bottom-up beats overtaxesContext
Stepek contrasted Smith's incentives with Marx and Keynes as top-down systems thinkers
Price fixing backlashEffect
UK youth unemployment rose after under-21 minimum wage climbed about 25 percent since 2024
From the articleThe point scaled to broader price fixing across wages, energy, rent and even food in Scotland, mirrored in the US by proposals for state-sponsored groceries in New York.
Trust hard to fakeContext
Genuine trust and empathy beat staged corporate theatre during inflection periods for markets
Cash hoarding trapEffect
Sitting in cash during expensive markets feels like security but kills long-run returns
From the articleMerryn Somerset Webb and Lamont defined that as six months of living expenses plus a couple of weeks of physical cash, noting £1,000 saved halves debt problems but hoarding beyond that is costly.
Buy through expensive timesOutcome
Disciplined buying when valuations look stretched beats waiting for crashes that never come
Debt warning ignoredDriver
Smith's caution about easy credit and leverage remains the risk policymakers refuse to address
From the articleThe show closed on Smith's warning that public debt enfeebles every state that adopts it and is rarely fairly and completely paid.
Contents(6)

Adam Smith's Lessons for Investors in the Age of AI headlined a live Merryn Talks Money taping for the 250th anniversary of Wealth of Nations.

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The panel drew a line from 1776 and James Watt unveiling the steam engine to today's AI inflection, a year after Smith's 300th birth anniversary.

The man of system versus the market

John Stepek, co-host and Money Distilled author, opened with Smith's chess board passage from The Theory of Moral Sentiments, where the legislator forgets every piece carries its own principle of motion.

The full discussion can be found on Bloomberg Podcast's YouTube channel.

Adam Smith’s Lessons for Investors in the Age of AI | Merryn Talks Money - Bloomberg Podcast
Adam Smith’s Lessons for Investors in the Age of AI | Merryn Talks Money, from Bloomberg Podcast

He contrasted Smith's bottom-up incentives with Marx and Keynes as top-down systems thinkers, then tied it to UK youth unemployment after the under-21 minimum wage cost rose about 25% since 2024.

The point scaled to broader price fixing across wages, energy, rent and even food in Scotland, mirrored in the US by proposals for state-sponsored groceries in New York.

Why trust and empathy are harder to fake

Robert Wilson, CEO of Nelsons and chair of Creative Scotland, chose Smith's line that nature endowed him with a wish to please and an aversion to offend.

Wilson framed regard and trust as the confidence layer under markets, not a soft add-on.

The panel warned AI can mimic human language and empathy without the struggle behind them, and pointed to a Stanley Druckenmiller Wall Street Journal column flagged as AI for its telltale quietly plus an FCA survey finding people trust AI financial advice more than financial journalists.

Tolerable security and the cash trap

Duncan Lamont, head of strategic research at Schroders, quoted Wealth of Nations on tolerable security and employing whatever stock one commands.

Merryn Somerset Webb and Lamont defined that as six months of living expenses plus a couple of weeks of physical cash, noting £1,000 saved halves debt problems but hoarding beyond that is costly.

The real risk is not the short-term volatility flagged by warnings that investments may fall, but failing to beat inflation or having to work five years longer in retirement.

What to buy when everything looks expensive

Lamont showed that over 100 years buying at all-time highs delivered better 12-month returns on average than buying at any other time, and the market sits at highs about 35% of the time.

A timer who sold at highs and rebought on dips since 1920 would have destroyed about 90% of wealth versus staying invested.

For value today he flagged emerging markets pricing 60 to 70% earnings growth, UK value outperforming the S and P 500 over one, three and five years, and Japan where governance reform has pushed buybacks toward US levels.

The debt warning no one wants to hear

The show closed on Smith's warning that public debt enfeebles every state that adopts it and is rarely fairly and completely paid.

That leaves investors hoping AI proves Smith wrong for once.

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Daniel Singer

Written by

Daniel Singer

Editor, StartupHub.ai

Daniel Singer is the editor of StartupHub.ai, a technology expert and thought leader on AI and its applications across sectors, from fintech and healthcare to developer tooling and consumer software. He writes and tests the tools covered here thoroughly and regularly, and built StartupHub.ai to give founders, operators and buyers a clearer read on what they are actually being sold.

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