# 66% Is Not a Poll: Eizenkot Leads on Polymarket

_Polymarket prices Gadi Eizenkot at 66% to be Israel's next PM vs 27% for Netanyahu, but polls still show a deadlock and liquidity is thin._

**Published:** 2026-10-27
**Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/web3--blockchain/2026/66-is-not-a-poll-eizenkot-leads-on-polymarket

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Polymarket shows Gadi Eizenkot at 66% to be prime minister after Israel's next election, with [Benjamin Netanyahu](https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/opinions/2026/khan-ouster-roils-netanyahu-warrant) at 27%, Naftali Bennett at 8% and Avigdor Lieberman at 3% as of the market snapshot. Polymarket shows 35.6K users chatting and small individual positions from $9 to $94, with no aggregate volume disclosed in this view. That pricing implies traders see a change at the top despite no new vote count. Liquidity and eligibility are not visible here. Not financial advice. Markets move fast.

I've used these order books before. They look decisive until you try to put size through them.

Per the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, polls still show a deadlock while Polymarket traders believe Eizenkot will replace [Netanyahu](https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/opinions/2026/khan-ouster-roils-netanyahu-warrant), a split the outlet illustrated with a road sign and large billboard featuring the two men in Ramat Gan. That street level campaign is running parallel to a very online market where sentiment can swing on a headline and a few hundred dollars. The gap between field polls and crypto bettors is the signal to read, not the 66% alone.

Polymarket leaves the mechanics thin in this view. Market rules, timeline and payout are tabbed but not expanded, and the footer notes Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities with Polymarket US run as a CFTC regulated market that warns trading involves substantial risk of loss. If you are in the U.S. you are on one rail, if you are elsewhere you are on another, and eligibility, deposits and how the question resolves follow that split. Chat messages asking when results will be known do not clarify when or how the market actually settles.

Treat the 66% as a read on trader positioning, not a forecast of the Knesset arithmetic that will decide the next prime minister. Polls, coalition math and the election date itself will move faster than this book, and thin early engagement can exaggerate a lead that looks commanding on a screen.

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