# Prediction Market Arbitrage: 7 Live Opportunities Identified Today, August 10, 2026 _Our cross-venue engine surfaced 8 prediction market arbitrage opportunities today, August 10, 2026, with 7 currently live for potential profit._ **Published:** 2026-08-10 **Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/prediction-market-arbitrage-7-live-opportunities-identified-today-august-10-2026 --- StartupHub.ai's cross-venue engine has identified 8 prediction market arbitrage opportunities as of August 10, 2026. An arbitrage lock occurs when buying 'YES' on one market and 'NO' on an identical market on a different venue costs less than $1 combined, guaranteeing a profit regardless of the outcome. Seven of these opportunities are live right now, offering varying returns by exploiting price discrepancies across Polymarket, Kalshi/Robinhood, and PredictIt. Spreads can close rapidly, and potential returns are subject to fees, KYC requirements, and withdrawal limits on each platform. This information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Arbitrage ROI by event. Will Trump recognize Somali...: ROI % 61.42. Where will Putin and Zelens...: ROI % 16.28. French presidential electio...: ROI % 7.35. Who will win the next Frenc...: ROI % 4.99. Who will be elected Los Ang...: ROI % 4.71. Who will win the 2028 US pr...: ROI % 3.36. Cross-venue spreads on August 10, 2026. Source: StartupHub.ai arbitrage engine. **Live arbitrage right now** These update automatically. Tap a leg to open the venue. Not financial advice. - **Will Trump recognize Somaliland? :: During Trump's term**. Arbitrage: 61.4% ROI, locks 38c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027?via=startup-hub-ai) at 8c, buy NO on [Kalshi / Robinhood](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecogsomali) at 54c. - **Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet? Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland?**. Arbitrage: 16.3% ROI, locks 14c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next?via=startup-hub-ai) at 3c, buy NO on [Kalshi / Robinhood](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxputinzelenskyylocation) at 83c. - **French presidential election: who will advance? Will François Hollande qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?**. Arbitrage: 7.4% ROI, locks 7c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election?via=startup-hub-ai) at 0c, buy NO on [Kalshi / Robinhood](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfrpresadvance) at 93c. - **Who will win the next French presidential election?, Gérald Darmanin**. Arbitrage: 5.0% ROI, locks 5c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election?via=startup-hub-ai) at 0c, buy NO on [PredictIt](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8766/Who-will-win-the-next-French-presidential-election) at 95c. - **Who will be elected Los Angeles mayor in 2026?, Karen Bass**. Arbitrage: 4.7% ROI, locks 4c per $1. Buy YES on [PredictIt](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8370/Who-will-be-elected-Los-Angeles-mayor-in-2026) at 62c, buy NO on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117?via=startup-hub-ai) at 34c. - **Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?, Gavin Newsom**. Arbitrage: 3.4% ROI, locks 3c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028?via=startup-hub-ai) at 10c, buy NO on [PredictIt](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8171/Who-will-win-the-2028-US-presidential-election) at 87c. - **2028 Democratic presidential nominee Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?**. Arbitrage: 3.1% ROI, locks 3c per $1. Buy YES on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?via=startup-hub-ai) at 3c, buy NO on [Kalshi / Robinhood](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomd) at 94c. - **Who will win the 2026 election for governor of Alaska?, Bernadette Wilson**. Combined cost 98c (no lock right now). Buy YES on [PredictIt](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8245/Who-will-win-the-2026-election-for-governor-of-Alaska) at 31c, buy NO on [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner?via=startup-hub-ai) at 67c. [See the full live arbitrage board](https://www.startuphub.ai/arbitrage) or poll the free [JSON API](https://www.startuphub.ai/api/v1/arbitrage). ## Track these live, or poll the free API The board above refreshes on its own, so this page stays current long after today. The full cross-venue feed lives on the [arbitrage board](https://www.startuphub.ai/arbitrage), and every match is also a free JSON API and an MCP tool, so a trading agent can poll live Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt arbitrage opportunities and act on them. ``` curl https://www.startuphub.ai/api/v1/arbitrage?arbs_only=1 ``` [Read the arbitrage API reference](https://www.startuphub.ai/api-docs/reference/arbitrage) or open the [live JSON endpoint](https://www.startuphub.ai/api/v1/arbitrage). Focused guides: [Polymarket arbitrage](https://www.startuphub.ai/arbitrage/polymarket), [Kalshi arbitrage](https://www.startuphub.ai/arbitrage/kalshi), and the [arbitrage bot API](https://www.startuphub.ai/arbitrage/bot). *Informational feed, not financial advice. Live arbitrages are often fleeting, and fees, gas, KYC and withdrawal limits eat into the spread. Verify each market’s resolution rules and costs before trading.* --- Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory. © StartupHub.ai. All rights reserved. You may not republish this article in full without a license. Search engines and AI research tools may crawl and summarize for reference. Bulk reproduction or model training on this content requires a license. See https://www.startuphub.ai/terms.