# Netanyahu Succession Bets
_Prediction markets show low confidence in any single successor for Netanyahu, with Naftali Bennett leading at 50% odds._
**Published:** 2026-05-02
**Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/netanyahu-succession-bets
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Markets are weighing in on who might eventually succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel. The question of who will succeed Netanyahu has been a subject of speculation, with a dedicated prediction market on Kalshi tracking potential candidates. According to data from [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-05-02), the current odds suggest significant uncertainty.

## Israel's Next Prime Minister Odds

The market for Naftali Bennett to become the next Prime Minister has the highest odds at 50%, implying a 2.0x return for a successful bet. However, this is far from a decisive lead.

Other notable figures have much lower probabilities. Israel Katz is priced at 13%, Itamar Ben-Gvir at 7.5%, and Yair Lapid at 2.9%.

The market for this event expires on January 1, 2045, indicating a long-term outlook for this political succession question.

This contrasts sharply with other, more immediate political bets, such as who will be Trump's next Attorney General, which has seen over $1.2 million in trading volume.

**Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN)

## Broader Market Trends

The overall trading volume across Kalshi's prediction markets reached $18.4 million, covering diverse areas from geopolitics to AI and tech.

In War & Geopolitics, a market asks whether Elon Musk will visit Mars before 2099, with odds reflecting a strong belief in a future visit. For those interested in space exploration, check out [AI Giants Eye IPOs: Markets Bet on OpenAI vs. Anthropic](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-giants-eye-ipos-markets-bet-on-openai-vs-anthropic) for related market insights.

Elsewhere, the EU's potential expansion is also a subject of betting, with a market exploring if any country will join the bloc by 2030. This topic is further detailed in [Israel's Next PM: Betting Market Odds](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/israel-s-next-pm-betting-market-odds).

Markets also reflect speculation on AI advancements, space missions, and even climate change targets.

**Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELONMARS-99)

**How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCO2LEVEL-30-450)

**EU has a new member before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/EUEXPANSION-30)

**Delaware governor winner? (2028)**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYDE-28-R)

**Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMOONMAN-31-USA)

**Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH)

**Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSPACEXMARS-30)

**Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBLUESPACEX-30)

**Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXROBOTMARS-35)

**When will nuclear fusion be achieved?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFUSION-30-JAN01)

**Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31)

**Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCOLONIZEMARS-50)

**Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMARSVRAIL-50)

**Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXDATACENTER-30)

**Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTAG-29-TBLA)
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Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.