# MicroStrategy Bitcoin Bets Skew 'No'
_Prediction markets show nearly unanimous belief that MicroStrategy will not sell any Bitcoin by the end of 2025, despite significant trading volume._
**Published:** 2026-06-02
**Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/microstrategy-bitcoin-bets-skew-no
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The latest snapshot of active prediction markets on [Polymarket, All Markets](https://polymarket.com/markets?digest=2026-06-02) reveals a striking sentiment regarding MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin BetsContext

prediction markets show nearly unanimous beliefFrom the article 5 mentionsThe overwhelming majority of bets, 99.4%, predict 'No' sales by December 31, 2025, indicating strong confidence that the company will maintain its substantial Bitcoin holdings.Polymarket MarketCoreasking 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___?'From the article 9+ mentionsThe latest snapshot of active prediction markets on Polymarket, All Markets reveals a striking sentiment regarding MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy.High Trading VolumeDriverFrom the articleA market asking "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?" has seen an overwhelming $68.6 million in 24-hour trading volume.Resolution CriteriaContextFrom the articleThe market's description clarifies resolution hinges on information from MicroStrategy (MSTR) and on-chain data, with credible reporting as a fallback.leads toOverwhelming 'No' BetsOutcomeFrom the article 2 mentionsThe overwhelming majority of bets, 99.4%, predict 'No' sales by December 31, 2025, indicating strong confidence that the company will maintain its substantial Bitcoin holdings.Low 'Yes' PayoutEffectsuggests a sale will occur with 153.8x payoutFrom the articleThis sentiment is reflected in the low potential return for a 'Yes' outcome, offering a 153.8x payout, compared to a mere 1.0x for 'No'.Investor ConfidenceOutcomestrong confidence company maintains substantial Bitcoin holdingsFrom the article 2 mentionsThis focus on MicroStrategy Bitcoin highlights ongoing investor scrutiny of corporate crypto strategies.
A market asking "[MicroStrategy](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/microstrategy-bitcoin-sale-bets) sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?" has seen an overwhelming $68.6 million in 24-hour trading volume. The overwhelming majority of bets, 99.4%, predict 'No' sales by December 31, 2025, indicating strong confidence that the company will maintain its substantial Bitcoin holdings. Only 0.7% of the volume suggests a sale will occur.

This sentiment is reflected in the low potential return for a 'Yes' outcome, offering a 153.8x payout, compared to a mere 1.0x for 'No'. The market's description clarifies resolution hinges on information from MicroStrategy (MSTR) and on-chain data, with credible reporting as a fallback.

This focus on MicroStrategy Bitcoin highlights ongoing investor scrutiny of corporate crypto strategies. Meanwhile, other markets show significant activity in geopolitical events, such as the [US Iran ceasefire](https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through), which has seen $2.2 million in 24-hour volume for a market predicting its continuation.

The broader [Polymarket Volume Breakdown](https://polymarket.com/markets?digest=2026-06-02) also shows substantial interest in the Federal Reserve's June decision, with $1.3 million traded on whether rates will change.

**MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025)

**Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/atp-tiafoe-arnaldi-2026-06-01)

**LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kc-gx-2026-06-01)

**Iran ceasefire continues through...?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through)

**Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-kc-cin-2026-06-01)

**US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by)

**Fed Decision in June?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825)

**What price will Bitcoin hit on June 1?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-june-1)

**US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by)

**Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2)
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Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.