# Israel PM: Betting Markets Weigh In
_Explore the latest odds from Kalshi's prediction markets on who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel, featuring a range of political figures._
**Published:** 2026-04-18
**Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/israel-pm-betting-markets-weigh-in
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Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is tracking [bets](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/kalshi-33x-on-greenland-bet-5-more-high-return-bets) on who will become the next Prime Minister of Israel. The data offers a snapshot of market sentiment, though the long expiration dates suggest considerable future flux.

The leading candidate, according to current market activity, is Naftali Bennett, with a 36% probability of returning to the role. However, the odds reflect substantial uncertainty, with a 71% chance he will not.

## Israel's Next Prime Minister: Market Odds

The market for the next Prime Minister of Israel is diverse, featuring a range of prominent political figures. Israel Katz holds a 12% chance, while figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir and Benny Gantz are given lower probabilities.

Other notable contenders and their current odds include Yariv Levin (5.9%), Gadi Eisenkot (17%), Yoav Gallant (12%), Bezalel Smotrich (1%), Yair Golan (4%), and former Prime Ministers Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett.

These predictions are based on trading volumes and market sentiment on the [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-04-18) platform, which aggregates various prediction markets across different categories.

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Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.