# Holloway Favored Over McGregor at UFC 329

_Max Holloway is heavily favored over Conor McGregor at UFC 329 with 71.5% odds, driving significant trading volume on Polymarket._

**Updated:** 2026-08-22
**Published:** 2026-07-12
**Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/holloway-favored-over-mcgregor-at-ufc-329

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The highly anticipated [UFC 329 Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds](https://polymarket.com/markets?digest=2026-07-12) heavily favor Max Holloway, with a 71.5% probability of victory in their welterweight main card bout. This event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on [Polymarket prediction markets](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/polymarket-ethiopia-pm-race-dominates), registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.

Holloway FavoredCoreFrom the article 4 mentionsThe highly anticipated UFC 329 Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor odds heavily favor Max Holloway, with a 71.5% probability of victory in their welterweight main card bout.McGregor UnderdogCoreFrom the article 4 mentionsConor McGregor, the underdog, currently sits at a 28.5% implied probability.UFC 329 Main EventContextwelterweight main card bout scheduled for July 11, 2026From the article 2 mentionsElsewhere on the UFC 329 card, Paddy Pimblett is narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis in their lightweight clash, with Pimblett holding 46.5% odds.High Trading VolumeDriverFrom the articleThis event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.Specific OutcomesContextHolloway KO/TKO at 53.5%, McGregor KO/TKO at 21.5%From the articleBeyond a straight win, bettors are also wagering on specific outcomes.Polymarket ActivityEffectFrom the article 9+ mentionsThis event, scheduled for July 11, 2026, has already seen substantial activity on Polymarket prediction markets, registering $8.2 million in 24-hour trading volume.extends toUnder Card ActionContextPaddy Pimblett narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis at 46.5%

Conor McGregor, the underdog, currently sits at a 28.5% implied probability. Beyond a straight win, bettors are also wagering on specific outcomes. Holloway winning by KO/TKO carries a 53.5% chance, while McGregor securing a KO/TKO win is at 21.5%.

The overall market for this fight has accumulated $13.4 million in total volume and $2.0 million in liquidity, making it one of the most active [cryptocurrency prediction markets](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/prediction-markets-track-global-leaders-fates).

## Under Card Action and Other Predictions

Elsewhere on the UFC 329 card, Paddy Pimblett is narrowly favored over Benoît Saint Denis in their lightweight clash, with Pimblett holding 46.5% odds. This market has seen $1.8 million in 24-hour volume.

King Green is a commanding favorite against Terrance McKinney, boasting 100% odds on Polymarket with $709.4K in daily volume. Meanwhile, Cory Sandhagen is favored with 58.5% odds against Mario Bautista in their bantamweight fight.

Beyond combat sports, [Polymarket prediction markets](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/prediction-market-arbitrage-12-opportunities-live-now-on-polymarket-kalshi-and-predictit-july-11-202) are tracking diverse events. The Argentina vs. Switzerland exact score market leads in overall 24-hour volume at $12.4 million, while a market on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by July 31st has garnered $1.2 million in daily volume.

**Argentina vs. Switzerland - Exact Score**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-exact-score)

**UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11)

**UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11)

**Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-mil-pit-2026-07-10)

**Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31)

**UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-kin-ter1-2026-07-11)

**NBA: LeBron James Next Team**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lebron-james-next-team)

**UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)**, [Trade on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-cor-mar-2026-07-11)

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Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.

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