# AI IPOs: Markets Bet on OpenAI vs. Anthropic _Prediction markets are buzzing with bets on whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, alongside forecasts for space missions and geopolitical shifts._ **Published:** 2026-06-17 **Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-ipos-markets-bet-on-openai-vs-anthropic --- The race to go public between AI titans OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with prediction markets reflecting significant investor interest. Traders on [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-06-17) are placing bets on which company will debut first, with a substantial $145.0K volume on the market asking if OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, favoring Anthropic to lead the charge. AI IPO RaceDriver From the article 4 mentionsThe race to go public between AI titans OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with prediction markets reflecting significant investor interest.reflected inPrediction MarketsContextKalshi and All Markets buzzing with betsFrom the article 7 mentionsThis divergence underscores a vibrant prediction market landscape, where everything from the future of AI companies like AI IPOs: Betting on OpenAI vs.Anthropic IPO FirstOutcomemarket favors Anthropic to IPO before OpenAIFrom the article 2 mentionsTraders on Kalshi, All Markets are placing bets on which company will debut first, with a substantial $145.0K volume on the market asking if OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first, favoring Anthropic to lead the charge.High-Stakes BetsContextvolume on AI IPO market exceeds $145.0KFrom the article 2 mentionsThe AI & Tech category on Kalshi sees other high-stakes predictions, including the competitive landscape for lunar missions.Lunar MissionsContextbets on which country lands humans on Moon by 2031From the articleThe AI & Tech category on Kalshi sees other high-stakes predictions, including the competitive landscape for lunar missions.Mars VisitContextElon Musk visiting Mars before 2099 predictionFrom the article 7 mentionsWill Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?, Trade on KalshiGeopolitical BetsContextmassive $2.7M market on war and geopoliticsFrom the article 3 mentionsElsewhere, the market grapples with long-term technological and geopolitical questions.US Moon LeadOutcomeUS holds slight edge in perceived odds for lunar missionFrom the article 4 mentionsA $73.9K market is dedicated to which country will be the first to send humans to the Moon by 2031, with the US currently holding a slight edge in perceived odds. The AI & Tech category on Kalshi sees other high-stakes predictions, including the competitive landscape for lunar missions. A $73.9K market is dedicated to which country will be the first to send humans to the Moon by 2031, with the US currently holding a slight edge in perceived odds. Elsewhere, the market grapples with long-term technological and geopolitical questions. The prospect of Elon Musk visiting Mars before 2099, a topic that also touches on the broader narrative of [AI giants facing an IPO test](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-giants-face-ipo-test), has seen over $101.6K traded. In stark contrast, the War & Geopolitics section highlights a massive $2.7M market focused on whether the United States will acquire any part of Greenland before 2029, indicating significant attention on potential geopolitical realignments. This divergence underscores a vibrant prediction market landscape, where everything from the future of AI companies like [AI IPOs: Betting on OpenAI vs. Anthropic](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-ipos-betting-on-openai-vs-anthropic) to territorial acquisitions is subject to public speculation and trading. **Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELONMARS-99) **Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN) **How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCO2LEVEL-30-450) **EU has a new member before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/EUEXPANSION-30) **Delaware governor winner? (2028)**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYDE-28-R) **Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH) **Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMOONMAN-31-USA) **Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBLUESPACEX-30) **Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSPACEXMARS-30) **Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXROBOTMARS-35) **Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31) **When will nuclear fusion be achieved?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFUSION-30-JAN01) **Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCOLONIZEMARS-50) **Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMARSVRAIL-50) **Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXDATACENTER-30) **Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXGREENTERRITORY-29) **How much will the US acquire Greenland for?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-NOACQ) --- Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.