# AI Giants' IPO Race Heats Up on Prediction Markets _Prediction markets show strong sentiment for OpenAI to IPO before Anthropic, with significant volume traded on the timing of AI companies' public debuts._ **Published:** 2026-06-03 **Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-giants-ipo-race-heats-up-on-prediction-markets --- The race to the public markets for AI heavyweights OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with traders on [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-06-03) placing significant bets on which company will go public first. Currently, the sentiment favors OpenAI, with markets suggesting a higher probability of its IPO occurring before Anthropic's. AI IPO RaceDriver OpenAI and Anthropic vie for public market debutFrom the article 6 mentionsThe race to the public markets for AI heavyweights OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with traders on Kalshi, All Markets placing significant bets on which company will go public first.Prediction MarketsContextTraders bet on IPO timing and company orderFrom the article 9+ mentionsThe broader prediction market landscape reveals a diverse range of speculative interests.OpenAI IPO FavoredOutcomeFrom the article 4 mentionsCurrently, the sentiment favors OpenAI, with markets suggesting a higher probability of its IPO occurring before Anthropic's.High Trading VolumeOutcomeSignificant bets placed on AI company public debutsFrom the article 2 mentionsThe OpenAI Anthropic IPO market has seen substantial trading volume, reflecting a collective anticipation of these landmark financial events.Investor InterestDriverFrom the article 3 mentionsThis speculative activity highlights the intense investor interest in the future of artificial intelligence and the potential valuations of its leading players.AI & Tech FocusContextTop traded market questions IPO order of AI leadersFrom the article 2 mentionsThe top-traded market in AI and Tech questions whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first.Anthropic IPOOutcomeInverse bet on Anthropic IPO has substantial volumeFrom the article 8 mentionsWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?, Trade on KalshiSpace ExplorationContextFrom the articleBeyond the IPO question, the future of space exploration is also a significant focus. This speculative activity highlights the intense investor interest in the future of artificial intelligence and the potential valuations of its leading players. The [OpenAI Anthropic IPO](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/markets-weigh-openai-anthropic-ipo-futures) market has seen substantial trading volume, reflecting a collective anticipation of these landmark financial events. ## AI & Tech Markets The top-traded market in AI and Tech questions whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first. As of the latest data, markets indicate a 78.0% chance of OpenAI going public before Anthropic, with a volume of $124.1K. The inverse bet, favoring Anthropic, has seen $101.5K in volume. Beyond the IPO question, the future of space exploration is also a significant focus. One market asks if the [USA will be the next country to send humans to the Moon](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/moonshot-bets-who-reaches-lunar-surface-first), with substantial trading volume indicating keen interest. The question of whether Elon Musk will visit Mars in his lifetime also draws significant attention, with markets reflecting a high degree of confidence in that outcome. This is detailed in our analysis of [Kalshi Markets: AI, Mars, and Musk](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/kalshi-markets-ai-mars-and-musk). **Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELONMARS-99) ## War & Geopolitics and Other Markets The broader prediction market landscape reveals a diverse range of speculative interests. In War & Geopolitics, a significant market is dedicated to whether the US will acquire territory in Greenland, with substantial volume indicating geopolitical foresight is being traded. The question of Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? shows a high probability of 'No' based on current odds. Markets are also actively trading on the future of CO2 atmospheric concentration and the potential expansion of the European Union. **Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN) **How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCO2LEVEL-30-450) **EU has a new member before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/EUEXPANSION-30) **Delaware governor winner? (2028)**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/GOVPARTYDE-28-R) **Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH) **Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMOONMAN-31-USA) **Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBLUESPACEX-30) **Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSPACEXMARS-30) **Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXROBOTMARS-35) **Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31) **When will nuclear fusion be achieved?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFUSION-30-JAN01) **Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCOLONIZEMARS-50) **Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMARSVRAIL-50) **Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXDATACENTER-30) **Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXGREENTERRITORY-29) **What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSTATE51-29-GL) --- Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.