# AI Giants Eye IPOs: Who'll Go Public First? _Prediction markets reveal a strong sentiment that Anthropic might IPO before OpenAI, with significant trading volume dedicated to the outcome._ **Updated:** 2026-08-22 **Published:** 2026-07-05 **Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-giants-eye-ipos-who-ll-go-public-first --- The race to the public markets between AI titans OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with traders placing bets on which company will debut first. According to data from [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-07-05), the prediction market platform, there's a clear favorite. AI Giants Eye IPOsCore OpenAI and Anthropic are major AI companiestracked byPrediction MarketsContextTraders are betting on which AI company will IPO firstFrom the article 9+ mentionsAccording to data from Kalshi, All Markets, the prediction market platform, there's a clear favorite.Anthropic favoredOutcomeStrong sentiment and substantial trading volume favor AnthropicFrom the article 4 mentionsThe race to the public markets between AI titans OpenAI and Anthropic is a hot topic, with traders placing bets on which company will debut first.Market VolumeOutcomeFrom the article 9+ mentionsThe total combined volume across active prediction markets reached $7.7 million.Broader MarketsContextOther markets track geopolitical and tech developmentsFrom the article 9 mentionsBeyond the AI sector, other significant markets are tracking major geopolitical and technological developments.OpenAI IPOCoreOpenAI is also a contender for an upcoming IPOFrom the article 4 mentionsThe market for "Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?" shows "Yes" with 83.0% odds, implying a strong belief that one of them will indeed go public before 2040.Investor AnticipationEffectFrom the articleThis sentiment is reflected in the substantial capital allocated to these speculative markets, highlighting investor anticipation for major tech IPOs. The market for "Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?" shows "Yes" with 83.0% odds, implying a strong belief that one of them will indeed go public before 2040. The specific bet favoring Anthropic to IPO first has seen substantial trading volume. This sentiment is reflected in the substantial capital allocated to these speculative markets, highlighting investor anticipation for major tech IPOs. The total combined volume across active prediction markets reached $7.7 million. Beyond the AI sector, other significant markets are tracking major geopolitical and technological developments. These include predictions on Elon Musk's Mars visit, succession plans for Israel's Prime Minister, and the future of CO2 atmospheric concentration. Traders are also weighing in on space exploration milestones, such as which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon and the timelines for SpaceX's lunar and Martian ambitions. Markets also touch on Blue Origin's lunar landing prospects. The future of global politics is also a subject of speculation, with markets assessing potential US territorial acquisitions and leadership changes within organizations like NATO. For more insights into predictions on the next NATO Chief, see our analysis on [NATO Chief Odds: Who's Next?](/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/nato-chief-odds-who-s-next) The sheer breadth of topics covered, from climate change targets to the awarding of niche sports accolades like the Super Ballon d'Or, underscores the diverse interests within the prediction market community. **Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELONMARS-99) **Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN) **How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCO2LEVEL-30-450) **EU has a new member before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/EUEXPANSION-30) **Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-KKAL) **Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSUPERBALLONDOR-30-YES) **Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH) **Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMOONMAN-31-USA) **Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBLUESPACEX-30) **Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSPACEXMARS-30) **Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXROBOTMARS-35) **Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31) **When will nuclear fusion be achieved?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFUSION-30-JAN01) **Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCOLONIZEMARS-50) **Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMARSVRAIL-50) **Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXDATACENTER-30) **Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXGREENTERRITORY-29) --- Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.