# AI Giants Eye IPOs: Who Goes Public First? _Prediction markets show a strong lean towards OpenAI IPOing before Anthropic, reflecting intense investor interest in AI's public market debut._ **Published:** 2026-07-27 **Source:** https://www.startuphub.ai/ai-news/prediction-markets/2026/ai-giants-eye-ipos-who-goes-public-first --- The race to the public markets for AI's leading contenders, OpenAI and Anthropic, is a hot topic among investors. Prediction markets show a clear favorite in this high-stakes contest. AI Giants Eye IPOsDriver leading AI contenders OpenAI and Anthropic race to public marketsdrivesInvestor Interest HighDriverintense interest in the financial future of cutting-edge AI developmentfuelsPrediction MarketsCoreKalshi, All Markets data shows substantial bets on IPO orderFrom the article 6 mentionsPrediction markets show a clear favorite in this high-stakes contest.OpenAI FavoredOutcomemarket indicates 83.0% probability of OpenAI IPOing before AnthropicFrom the article 5 mentionsThe race to the public markets for AI's leading contenders, OpenAI and Anthropic, is a hot topic among investors.Anthropic Less LikelyOutcome19.0% probability for Anthropic IPO preceding OpenAI's debutSignificant Trading VolumeContexttotal combined volume across all tracked prediction markets reached $1.5 millionFrom the articleThe market indicates a strong probability that OpenAI will IPO before Anthropic, with significant trading volume reflecting this sentiment.signalsAI Public Market DebutEffectreflecting intense investor interest in AI's public market debutFrom the article 2 mentionsAccording to data from Kalshi, All Markets, traders are placing substantial bets on which of these AI powerhouses will conduct its initial public offering first. According to data from [Kalshi, All Markets](https://kalshi.com/markets?digest=2026-07-27), traders are placing substantial bets on which of these AI powerhouses will conduct its initial public offering first. The market indicates a strong probability that OpenAI will IPO before Anthropic, with significant trading volume reflecting this sentiment. ## AI & Tech The question of whether OpenAI or Anthropic will IPO first before 2040 has attracted considerable attention. The market currently favors OpenAI, with trades suggesting an 83.0% probability of an OpenAI IPO preceding Anthropic's, and a corresponding 19.0% probability for the reverse scenario. This speculation highlights the intense interest in the financial future of cutting-edge AI development. The total combined volume across all tracked prediction markets reached $1.5 million. **Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELONMARS-99) **Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN) **When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-27JAN01) **How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCO2LEVEL-30-450) **EU has a new member before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/EUEXPANSION-30) **Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-KKAL) **Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSUPERBALLONDOR-30-YES) **Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXOAIANTH-40-ANTH) **Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXMOONMAN-31-USA) **Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXBLUESPACEX-30) **Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSPACEXMARS-30) **Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXROBOTMARS-35) **Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/STARSHIPMARS-29DEC31) **When will nuclear fusion be achieved?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXFUSION-30-JAN01) **Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/markets/KXCOLONIZEMARS-50) **Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?**, [Trade on Kalshi](https://kalshi.com/events/KXMARSVRAIL-50) --- Original analysis from [startuphub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai), the #1 AI startup directory.